Eurjpy correlation: Using Currency Correlations to Your Advantage

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Today, a total of 19 EU member states hold the euro as their national currency, with the remainder, excluding the UK, committing to do so in the future. Additionally, a number of non-euro states have fixed their currencies to the value of the euro, these include the Danish krone, the Comorian franc and the Moroccan dirham. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Then fill in the columns with the past daily prices that occurred for each pair over the time period you are analyzing.

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It also has a negative correlation with the USDCHF; which means that when the EUR JPY rises, the USDCHF will tend to fall, and vice versa. The correlation has always proved to be effective, with the pair rising when stocks are trending higher, and the risk is on. In a risk-off environment, the EUR-JPY will generally fall and signal tumbling stock prices.

The Japanese prefer a weak Yen because it increases exports, but they don’t like an appreciation or depreciation that is too fast and goes on for too long. If the EUR is getting stronger against the Yen, then it increases the purchasing power of European consumers and businesses who can buy more Japanese goods and services. On the other hand, a strong Yen decreases the purchasing power of the European people who may want to buy less Japanese stuff and therefore decreases Japanese exports.

The pair’s rate is influenced mostly by the Bank of Japan as well as the European Central Bank. Additionally, other organizations like the Japan Meteorological Agency and the Japan Statistics Bureau have also great impact on JPY’s value. As a trading instrument, EUR/JPY is very popular since it offers very low spreads, and decent volatility in most trading sessions, as well as it represents a leading indicator for stocks worldwide.

History of the EUR-JPY

A correlation of -1 implies the two currency pairs will move in the opposite direction 100% of the time. A correlation of zero implies that the relationship between the currency pairs is completely random. Two correlated currencies will have a coefficient close to 100 if they move in the same direction and of -100 if they move in opposite directions. A correlation close to 0 shows that the movements in the two currency pairs are not related. The correlation of currencies allows for better evaluation of the risk of a combination of positions.


The greater the correlation coefficient, the more closely aligned they are. Samantha Silberstein is a Certified Financial Planner, FINRA Series 7 and 63 licensed holder, State of California life, accident, and health insurance licensed agent, and CFA. She spends her days working with hundreds of employees from non-profit and higher education organizations on their personal financial plans. If the correlation is low then the currencies don’t move in the same way. Take a look at the charts below to see the correlation between the EUR/JPY and the DAX and S&P500. In theory, whenever the DAX rises, we can probably expect the euro to rise as well, as investors need to get a hand on some euros.

Correlation measures the relationship existing between two currency pairs. For example, it enables us to know whether two currency pairs are going to move in a similar way or not. You need to look for the times when liquidity and volatility are high, and you can also focus on economic reports that could influence trade between Japan and Europe. One easy way to trade the EUR/JPY is through CFDs, or contracts for difference. Trading this way avoids taking possession of either currency, and it also allows a trader to use greater leverage when trading.

The market though generally looks past such geopolitical events pretty fast when they don’t have a wider impact on the world. The only thing that this conflict brought is more inflation on the energy and food side, so the market started to focus on inflation. This resulted in the market pricing in a more aggressive ECB to come as they need to lower demand to bring it in equilibrium with the low supply. The Euro, after selling off for a week after the Russian invasion of Ukraine, started an uptrend since. Negative correlation is a relationship between two variables in which one variable increases as the other decreases, and vice versa.

This implies that when the EUR/USD rallies, the GBP/USD has also rallied 95% of the time. Over the past six months, the correlation was weaker (0.66), but in the long run the two currency pairs still have a strong correlation. Always choose a good, reputable and regulated broker to avoid unnecessary problems.

Major Bodies Influencing EUR JPY

This makes JPY pairs sensitive to the risk sentiment and you will see EUR/JPY going up when there’s risk on sentiment and going down when there’s risk off sentiment. The EUR/JPY ticker symbol refers to the correlation of the Euro to the Japanese Yen exchange rate. This pairing, which is also popular as ‘’Euppy’’ became one of the major and widely traded currency pairs amongst investors since it combines one of the most stable currencies with a volatile one . Moreover, EUR/JPY is a part of the ‘minors’ group of the Forex market with the Euro to be the base currency and the Japanese Yen as the quote one. During the years the EUR/JPY price has faced great volatility and massive trends. Thus, traders who choose this pair need to monitor the right time to speculate it considering that its fluctuations can be correlated with EUR/USD and USD/JPY.

That’s why US news move the EUR/JPY pair even though there’s no USD in the pair. In Forex markets, correlation is used to predict which currency pair rates are likely to move in tandem. A modification of the correlation, principally over the long-term, may demonstrate that the market is undergoing a change. The EUR JPY has a positive correlation with the CHFJPY, EURUSD and USDJPY. A positive correlation implies that the EUR-JPY will tend to mirror similar price movements with the correlated assets.

The best times to trade EUR/JPY is during the European and North American Session. The foreign exchange, or Forex, is a decentralized marketplace for the trading of the world’s currencies. On the other hand, holding long EUR/USD and long AUD/USD or NZD/USD is similar to doubling up on the same position since the correlations are so strong. On the flip side, when the sun is bright and risk appetite is rampant, investors pour their money into stock markets, which in turn leads to a rise in the EUR/JPY. The JPY is a news sensitive currency, which makes it important for EUR JPY traders to track major data releases by the Japan Statistics Bureau. Important news to watch out for include Trade Balance numbers, GDP figures and the Consumer Price Index.


Covariance is an evaluation of the directional relationship between the returns of two assets. An inverse correlation is a relationship between two variables such that when one variable is high the other is low and vice versa. The offers that appear in this table are from partnerships from which Investopedia receives compensation. Investopedia does not include all offers available in the marketplace. Correlation is a statistical measure of how two variables relate to one another.

Management of risks

Get current updates on the cross pair with the EUR/JPY charts and trade this powerful world currency pair. 84% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You can also see the correlation that shows how the JPY pairs are sensitive to risk sentiment by comparing EUR/JPY to other JPY pairs . In the example below you can see the correlation between EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY and CAD/JPY.

EURJPY is the ticker symbol for the Euro to Japanese yen exchange rate. By combining the popular EUR and the volatile JPY, the EUR JPY has become a favourite currency pair of many forex traders. The pair is also referred to as ‘Euppy’, pronounced as ‘Yuppy,’ and is currently, as of October 2019, the seventh most traded asset in the forex market. The EUR JPY is a ‘cross pair’, and it falls under the ‘minors’ group in the forex market. In the EUR-JPY forex rate, the EUR is the base currency, while the JPY is the quote currency.

With this knowledge of correlations in mind, let’s look at the following tables, each showing correlations between the major currency pairs . Whenever confidence in the global economy is down and traders are fearful, we typically see traders take their money out of the stock markets, which leads to a drop in the values of the DAX and S&P500. Moreover, in the European session you get the news and events for the Eurozone and in the North American session the news for US. US news are always the most important as the US is the biggest economy in the world and it can single-handedly spur global growth or bring the whole world into a recession. The Federal Reserve is also the most important central bank in the world.

Traders prefer to use technical analysis when approaching this pair, looking for areas of support and resistance or important moving average crosses. Clients and prospects are advised to carefully consider the opinions and analysis offered in the blogs or other information sources in the context of the client or prospect’s individual analysis and decision making. None of the blogs or other sources of information is to be considered as constituting a track record. Any news, opinions, research, data, or other information contained within this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment or trading advice. FOREXLIVE™ expressly disclaims any liability for any lost principal or profits without limitation which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.

To be able to trade stocks like this, create an account and apply for a stock listing. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. So, when the European yields are rising, investors prefer to buy European assets which means selling Yen and buying Euros and vice versa when yields in Eurozone fall or the Japanese ones rise. In the chart below you can see how the EUR/JPY pair is correlated with the spread between the European and Japanese bond yields. The best way to keep current on the direction and strength of your correlation pairings is to calculate them yourself.

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