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Interest Rate Differential

SYDNEY -Australia’s military will help enforce a lockdown in Sydney after the city of 6 million posted a record daily rise in COVID-19 cases on Thursday and state authorities said the outbreak was likely to get worse. Treasury yields fell as spiking COVID-19 infections raised the probability of a new round of economic shutdowns, and investors grappled with the realization that any potential vaccine remains months away from coming to market. The Dollar/Yen rose sharply when yields surged i […]

Implied Volatility Directional Forecasting

Though a predicted-price range is a reliable tool, when or where prices will spike and fall isn’t as simple to see. Generally, option traders look to buy options when implied volatility is low since premiums are lower, in hopes of seeing the underlying stock move in a favorable direction along with an increase in volatility which will make premiums increase. In mature options markets, volatility surfaces can be very insightful into the market’s expectations of potential price behavi […]